Chances of NOT having a miscarriage.

CCLow87 · August 2015

Probability of NOT having a miscarriage
3W, 0D 67%
3W, 1D 67.10%
3W, 2D 67.40%
3W, 3D 68%
3W, 4D 68.70%
3W, 5D 69.70%
3W, 6D 70.80%
4W, 0D 72%
4W, 1D 73.50%
4W, 2D 74.80%
4W, 3D 76.40%
4W, 4D 77.90%
4W, 5D 79.50%
4W, 6D 81.10%
5W, 0D 82.70%
5W, 1D 84.20%
5W, 2D 85.60%
5W, 3D 87%
5W, 4D 88.30%
5W, 5D 89.50%
5W, 6D 90.60%
6W, 0D 91.60%
6W, 1D 92.50%
6W, 2D 93.40%
6W, 3D 94.10%
6W, 4D 94.70%
6W, 5D 95.30%
6W, 6D 95.70%
7W, 0D 96.10%
7W, 1D 96.50%
7W, 2D 96.80%
7W, 3D 97%
7W, 4D 97.20%
7W, 5D 97.40%
7W, 6D 97.50%
8W, 0D 97.60%
8W, 1D 97.70%
8W, 2D 97.80%
8W, 3D 97.80%
8W, 4D 97.90%
8W, 5D 97.90%
8W, 6D 97.90%
9W, 0D 97.90%
9W, 1D (and on) 98%+

Copied from the March BMB. Hopefully this provides comfort to some!

Pmommy0416 · August 2015

Very interesting! Thanks for posting!

hazel14rich · August 2015

Thank you for sharing!

sarahufl · August 2015

While I find this to be interesting, I also think it kind of makes people who DO miscarry feel bad. Like- against all odds, it happened to me.

As someone who had an ectopic (freaking TWO PERCENT of pregnancies are ectopic), I remember hearing stats like- it is so rare, it doesn't happen frequently, etc. and then wondering what I did to cause it (nothing, I know it was nothing).

Just a thought.

CCLow87 · August 2015

I've miscarriad three babies and this chart helped me tremendously.

AliSummer · August 2015

There's a website that has this; I look at it everyday.

ashley22williams · August 2015

Thanks for sharing!

myndihallberg · August 2015

This helps a lot but the hard headed part of me still worries...like come on brain let me be excite!

orangegoggles · August 2015

Yes, logically it is helpful to see the stats. However, I MC after seeing the heartbeat twice around 12 weeks so its strange realizing that I was in the less than 2 percent group.

mgm84 · August 2015

I have a 50% chance of miscarriage. I have my ultrasound scheduled for Wednesday, and I am so anxious for it. I'm hoping to see some positives signs.
And while this chart helps some, until I get my CVS test at 11 weeks (g-d willing), I'll be all nerves regardless

Lilpenguin3 · August 2015

After reading a bunch of negative stuff today I needed this. Thanks for posting.

cmerribury · August 2015

This is VERY comforting. Thanks for sharing!

rschenck14 · August 2015

I agree that this can be tough to see, but I also think it helps keep it into perspective that everyday you get closer to that 2nd trimester your odds go up. I was kind of wondering when most people did have a miscarriage (how far along they actually were). I know its different for everyone, but there is some comfort in getting to a certain point. So thank you for posting.

CashN044 · August 2015

This helps me breathe a little sigh of relief. Of course stats are only stats, but I have miscarried before (at 5 weeks) so this helps me feel that the likelihood of it happening twice at this early stage may be lower than my worried mind tends to believe (assuming I'm healthy and don't have any unidentified risk factors). Thanks for sharing!

tracifro12 · August 2015

Thank you for posting this! Just found out I'm pregnant again after a miscarriage at 11 weeks last year. I know I'll have to take it one day at a time. But this helps!

GridIronGrrl34 · August 2015

rschenck14 said:

I agree that this can be tough to see, but I also think it helps keep it into perspective that everyday you get closer to that 2nd trimester your odds go up. I was kind of wondering when most people did have a miscarriage (how far along they actually were). I know its different for everyone, but there is some comfort in getting to a certain point. So thank you for posting.

I agree. I ike seeing the progress and love that it is day to day, not just week to week. But I can also see how it would make you feel pretty terrible if you're in that small percentage group. I'm going to keep checking back to this though, I have a feeling.

HealthyHappyNicole · August 2015

Thank you for this! Puts my mind at ease.

MommyMoe326 · August 2015

Thanks for posting. I personally find comfort in this. One day at a time...

kleinem · August 2015

Such a comfort.

rel1988 · August 2015

Thanks for sharing!!

GridIronGrrl34 · August 2015

Inching towards 80% here. I'll feel better once I hit 90%!

tennisbabymama · August 2015

Thanks for posting. Very interesting. I definitely thought chances were lower since it seems to be more common. This has helped ease my fears for the moment.

NReamer · August 2015

I miscarried 2 pegnancies... What source are March mommies using for this data?

Julesby · August 2015

@NReamer, I think they pulled it from a site looking at human embryo survival statistics.

Here's a similar chart where you can plug in your LMP and see stats for you: https://spacefem.com/pregnant/mc.php?m=07&d=02&y=15

bearinabeesuit · August 2015

After my May miscarriage my mantra everyday for first trimester is "today I am pregnant." I love seeing the percentages! Hard to believe that I was in such a small percentile for my 8 week miscarriage

mrsmtothek · August 2015

Bump!

rebelone · August 2015

Thank you

JCfirsttimemama · August 2015

@bearinabeesuit my mantra has been "I am pregnant and I'm not going to panic!"

Cat&Baby · August 2015

Thank you so much for posting this. The thought of MC has me terrified.

rel1988 · August 2015

JCfirsttimemama said:

@bearinabeesuit my mantra has been "I am pregnant and I'm not going to panic!"

I also like "Faith before Fear"

MT2015MT · August 2015

These odds used to be comforting- I wish I was still naive enough to think I could never fall in the 1-2%.

odds just don't mean much when you've found yourself on the wrong side of them.

tennisbabymama · August 2015

Bump.

Jlnitti80 · August 2015

Thank you for posting!

sarahufl · August 2015

MT2015MT said:

These odds used to be comforting- I wish I was still naive enough to think I could never fall in the 1-2%. odds just don't mean much when you've found yourself on the wrong side of them.

My thoughts exactly- I actually think this post is crap. Pregnancy loss is hard enough without others pointing it out to you how unlikely it is to happen.

mrsmtothek · August 2015

sarahufl said:

MT2015MT said:

These odds used to be comforting- I wish I was still naive enough to think I could never fall in the 1-2%. odds just don't mean much when you've found yourself on the wrong side of them.

My thoughts exactly- I actually think this post is crap. Pregnancy loss is hard enough without others pointing it out to you how unlikely it is to happen.

This actually is meant to provide comfort, not to rub the possibility of a miscarriage in anyones face. I think every woman who reads this post is already anxious and nervous about miscarriages, and for some, seeing these statistics can be reassuring during times when you have nothing else to go off of.

AmadorRose · August 2015

Thank you so much for this. I'm scared sh--less to have another m/c, and now I just want to give you creepy internet hugs.

Edit: gif fail

sarahufl · August 2015

mrsmtothek said:

sarahufl said:

MT2015MT said:

These odds used to be comforting- I wish I was still naive enough to think I could never fall in the 1-2%. odds just don't mean much when you've found yourself on the wrong side of them.

My thoughts exactly- I actually think this post is crap. Pregnancy loss is hard enough without others pointing it out to you how unlikely it is to happen.

This actually is meant to provide comfort, not to rub the possibility of a miscarriage in anyones face. I think every woman who reads this post is already anxious and nervous about miscarriages, and for some, seeing these statistics can be reassuring during times when you have nothing else to go off of.

It isn't that I don't understand the point of the post. It is that I think it is ridiculous and frankly not helpful when you DO find yourself in that small percentage.

CCLow87 · August 2015

AmadorRose said:
Thank you so much for this. I'm scared sh--less to have another m/c, and now I just want to give you creepy internet hugs.

Edit: gif fail

I'll take them.

lawright · August 2015

sarahufl said:

mrsmtothek said:

sarahufl said:

MT2015MT said:

These odds used to be comforting- I wish I was still naive enough to think I could never fall in the 1-2%. odds just don't mean much when you've found yourself on the wrong side of them.

My thoughts exactly- I actually think this post is crap. Pregnancy loss is hard enough without others pointing it out to you how unlikely it is to happen.

This actually is meant to provide comfort, not to rub the possibility of a miscarriage in anyones face. I think every woman who reads this post is already anxious and nervous about miscarriages, and for some, seeing these statistics can be reassuring during times when you have nothing else to go off of.

It isn't that I don't understand the point of the post. It is that I think it is ridiculous and frankly not helpful when you DO find yourself in that small percentage.

I agree that statistics are crap when you are on the other side of them, and I'm genuinely sorry for your loss. I really hope that you see this board as a whole as 98% supportive and 2% misguided/irrelevant/trolling/special snowflake. (Anything more would be completely unrealistic.)

That said, being on the side of having miscarried at 3w6d, I'm very comforted by statistics contradicting my previous belief that there was an equivalent risk of miscarriage all the way until a heartbeat can be detected, at which point it drops substantially. I'm relieved to see that the risk instead decreases incrementally each day, so I can greet each morning as a success instead of holding my breath for the next 13 days.

jonesl12 · August 2015

This chart is the odds of a healthy embryo developing . It does not take into consideration other factors such as a SCH, progesterone levels, etc. I have seen people loose their babies at 38 -41 weeks in the office. I'm not being a Debbie downer I'm being realistic. I'm not a fan of these charts however if it gives somebody some sort of comfort then how bad can it be? Just don't be naive

jkffx7 · August 2015

I appreciate this post because while I'm realistic that things may happen- there is absolutely nothing that can be done by obsessing over it- it helped me to enjoy this time instead of being a crazy mess-- it's clear from most posts that MC is extremely common- but enjoy today because we're all expecting

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