Chances of NOT having an early miscarriage

DutchLucyLu

Hello ladies!

It's still very early days for this BMB, which means most of us have only found out we were pregnant in the last few days and many more people will join us over the next couple of weeks. Though it isn't something we like to think about, I'm sure we all have that little voice in the back of our minds going. "What if something goes wrong?". (Especially if you've experienced a loss before.) We're not the first ones to think about this, and not the first to want to research this. User @l4rk from the January 2016 BMB found that she only felt a little bit better after looking at statistics about this topic, and she realised why;

"...articles on miscarriage focus on the chances you're going to miscarry and all the comments share miscarriage stories--they don't focus on how many people DON'T have miscarriages and go on to have happy, healthy babies!"

So she inverted this week-by-week chart to focus on the chances of NOT having an early miscarriage. I found it very reassuring when I first read it (before I was even pregnant) and it has since been shared on a few other BMBs, where it was well-received. I hope it will ease your minds as well. Every day that we are pregnant, the chances of everything going RIGHT increase!

Wishing everyone a happy and healthy nine months and I look forward to getting to know you all!

Progress	Probability of NOT having a miscarriage
3W, 0D	67%
3W, 1D	67.10%
3W, 2D	67.40%
3W, 3D	68%
3W, 4D	68.70%
3W, 5D	69.70%
3W, 6D	70.80%
4W, 0D	72%
4W, 1D	73.50%
4W, 2D	74.80%
4W, 3D	76.40%
4W, 4D	77.90%
4W, 5D	79.50%
4W, 6D	81.10%
5W, 0D	82.70%
5W, 1D	84.20%
5W, 2D	85.60%
5W, 3D	87%
5W, 4D	88.30%
5W, 5D	89.50%
5W, 6D	90.60%
6W, 0D	91.60%
6W, 1D	92.50%
6W, 2D	93.40%
6W, 3D	94.10%
6W, 4D	94.70%
6W, 5D	95.30%
6W, 6D	95.70%
7W, 0D	96.10%
7W, 1D	96.50%
7W, 2D	96.80%
7W, 3D	97%
7W, 4D	97.20%
7W, 5D	97.40%
7W, 6D	97.50%
8W, 0D	97.60%
8W, 1D	97.70%
8W, 2D	97.80%
8W, 3D	97.80%
8W, 4D	97.90%
8W, 5D	97.90%
8W, 6D	97.90%
9W, 0D	97.90%
9W, 1D (and on)	98%+

lalala2004

Thanks for posting this, @DutchLucyLu !

peachykeen16

Having suffered 2 early losses between the birth of DD and now this was what I needed to see right now - thank you!

DutchLucyLu

You're welcome!

I'm sorry for your losses @peachykeen16, FX for a sticky baby!

mslovesbo

Thank you for this post. That nagging thought is experienced by most and I agree that this perspective might help to ease anxiety. Great idea and thank for sharing!

allishally13

Thanks for posting!

Sunami88

Thank you for this. I was 4 months pregnant when I had to terminate for medical reasons on 26th May this year. Tried again this month and was blessed to have fallen pregnant so praying nothing goes wrong as it was pretty easy.

tgrlily287

This certainly makes me feel better for this pregnancy, though I didn't realize my last miscarriage at 10 weeks I would have had 98% chance of NOT having a miscarriage :-S Not feeling super great about that part. Hoping to have better luck this time around.

spaceunicorn

Nice chart!

honeydew405

Great chart thanks for sharing. I too had a loss back in May and to our surprise I just found out today that God blessed us with another angle. Praying for you all to have healthy babies.

concreteayngel

Been looking all over for this chart! Thanks for reposting it!

kellypatterson

I too miscarried in May and it is nice to see it on a positive sale. Hoping everyone has sticky babies!!

concreteayngel

I know that we are a small community of women all trying to achieve the same thing, so obvi the numbers are skewed, but you read things like chances of m/c before the age of 35 is like 20%. But then you come on here and it feels like everybody has had a loss. I wonder how many have had kids without losing one (or more)? I didn't want to ask elsewhere, because I'm not sure if that's insensitive or not. But right now, getting to 12 weeks and beyond feels almost impossible.

kellypatterson

I read somewhere and I can't remember when but that 70% of people will experience a miscarriage at somepoint. The good news that most of these happen before you would even know to test.

bvdk44

Thanks for posting! I'm 4 weeks today (GA) and my doctor wants me to come in weekly for hcg # tests. It's so nerve-racking but I'm trying to stay positive!

honeydew405

@concreteayngel I feel the same way you do 12 weeks seems forever, but I have been doing a lot of praying and putting my faith in his hands. I've never experienced a child loss until 2months ago so the worrying does come up here and there. I can say I now know how women do feel that have had miscarriage pray that everyone can have healthy babies.

allishally13

So thankful for this chart today. Had a conversation with a coworker about her daughter who is pregnant (and the coworker doesn't know I am yet) and a conversation with my thyroid doctor that put me on edge about a CP or miscarriage. Need to just keep looking at this chart. That first ultrasound can't come soon enough!!!

DutchLucyLu

@concreteayngel, I feel the same. I thought the chance of a loss was pretty small but since coming on here I feel like it happens a lot more often than people realise. I think you're right about things looking skewed on here, but I also think it's because losses aren't something that people talk about much IRL, even though they do happen.

I just check this chart every day and just hope with all my heart that we all stay pregnant!

aretiti

Thank you so much for posting this. Such a relief and encouragement to check this table each and every single day.

jteix1

I love this post . I unfortunately have had 3 miscarriages and 2 live births . Our last one in December 2015. So I can't wait until I am 14 weeks and in the clear. Good luck to everyone

lest12

My PGAL brain has been playing tricks on me today and this really helped. Thanks!

Mel90412

Thanks so much for posting this! I also have been looking for it everywhere. I am so excited, but feeling very anxious at the same time. It has eased my mind a bit.

bellamamma23

Thank you for posting this. 

JoyTap

Thank you! I have been worried.... I'm an ICU nurse so the only gyne patients I've seen have terrible!!! Quite reassuring!

rinaroo11

This chart makes me so happy. I really needed to see this. Ill be 5 weeks on monday so i already have a pretty good chance.

Nicole27Marie

Thank you for posting this! I just reached 5 weeks and it's my first and it's reassuring to see positive information out there

Sakinadil

Oh my gosh, this chart made me so happy!
I'm going to be 5 weeks tomorrow with our first and this is very comforting. Especially because I have had some spotting. Made a screenshot so I can take a look whenever I feel a bit nervous.
Thank you so much!

tigerfish227

I'm with the PPs who have mixed feelings on this. On one hand this is extremely comforting. So refreshing to see how high the likelihood of not having problems is. But on the other hand I look at when my losses happened and think I'm so unlucky! Here's hoping my luck finally changed.

qtpi145

Omg! Thank you so much for this! It puts my crazy hormonal pregnant mind at ease

Nicbert1214

So happy that I came across this! I just reached 5 weeks this past Monday and this chart made me feel a heck of lot better, thank you for posting!

concreteayngel

Bump. Cuz this post should be pinned. 

mur39630

Thanks for posting! This is my first pregnancy and I've been anxious.

lalala2004

I hadn't check this in a while and it's nice to see my percentage go up so much!

tigerfish227

Woo hoo!!! I'm up to 87%

saladflambe

Yay! 72% today! 

(totally just bumping so all can see the list)

should be pinned

gracefulruby33

*another bump*

On Saturday, I am planning to go to a college football game here in town (Go Hawkeyes!) and it's supposed to be 90 and extremely humid. I'm a little bit apprehensive to expose myself to the heat and risk for dehydration. I experienced a loss back in May, and I'm just really on edge about this pregnancy because I obviously don't want it to happen again.

I called the nurse's line and told her my thoughts and what her advice would be. She said that nothing I do or don't do will prevent a loss from happening. If it is going to happen, there's nothing I can do to stop it. So, for some this might be even scarier than thinking about a miscarriage, but it was a great reminder to me that it is out of my hands. In my situation, all I can do is use common sense in regards to my own health, but if this baby is to be, then me going out for a few hours will be okay.

I hope this is additional comfort to those worrying about this and not something more to worry about.
:x

DutchLucyLu

@BumpAdmin, can this please be pinned? I feel multiple people would like it to be, and I think everyone would benefit from seeing it. (It could even be unpinned after we're all in second tri, because it doesn't really go on after that.)

seashellz1223

Thank you so much for this @DutchLucyLu

mwinings86

Thanks so much for posting this! I have been so worried since I found out a week ago that I was pregnant that this would end in a miscarriage. We have been trying for 7 yrs so I am especially worried that it could take that much longer if we lose this one. I am 5 wks so it is nice to know that 85% will not have a miscarriage.

OERTLIM

Thank you for posting. The numbers speak volumes to a new anxious first time mom to be.

kdandrews8

Thank you! This has eased my mind immensely