Odds of NOT having a Miscarriage

meggyme

Stolen from Sept. '18

Hi ladies,

This is the chart that I look at daily. All credit goes to @l4rk for the following: 

I've noticed that no matter how many times I look up miscarriages rates, I walk away feeling only slightly better (at best). I'm the kind of person who finds reassurance in statistics, but for some reason, all of the existing posts weren't doing it for me. And then I realized why: articles on miscarriage focus on the chances you're going to miscarry and all the comments share miscarriage stories--they don't focus on how many people DON'T have miscarriages and go on to have happy, healthy babies! 

I adapted this week-by-week chart and modified it so that it would focus on the positive rather than the negative! Since I found the positive spin benefiting my peace of mind, I thought it might benefit some of you too.

Progress	Probability of NOT having a miscarriage
3W, 0D	67%
3W, 1D	67.10%
3W, 2D	67.40%
3W, 3D	68%
3W, 4D	68.70%
3W, 5D	69.70%
3W, 6D	70.80%
4W, 0D	72%
4W, 1D	73.50%
4W, 2D	74.80%
4W, 3D	76.40%
4W, 4D	77.90%
4W, 5D	79.50%
4W, 6D	81.10%
5W, 0D	82.70%
5W, 1D	84.20%
5W, 2D	85.60%
5W, 3D	87%
5W, 4D	88.30%
5W, 5D	89.50%
5W, 6D	90.60%
6W, 0D	91.60%
6W, 1D	92.50%
6W, 2D	93.40%
6W, 3D	94.10%
6W, 4D	94.70%
6W, 5D	95.30%
6W, 6D	95.70%
7W, 0D	96.10%
7W, 1D	96.50%
7W, 2D	96.80%
7W, 3D	97%
7W, 4D	97.20%
7W, 5D	97.40%
7W, 6D	97.50%
8W, 0D	97.60%
8W, 1D	97.70%
8W, 2D	97.80%
8W, 3D	97.80%
8W, 4D	97.90%
8W, 5D	97.90%
8W, 6D	97.90%
9W, 0D	97.90%
9W, 1D (and on)	98%+

ETA Stats from Expecting Better based off her research. Reversed to show positive side.

6W                     ~89%
7W                     ~92.5%
8W                     ~94.9%
9W                     ~96.5%
10W                   ~97%
11W+                 >98%

Overall odds of making it full-term based on Expecting Better:
~95% if no previous miscarriage. 75% with previous miscarriage (does not matter if multiple or not). She implies it's likely higher than 75% if using progesterone supplements but doesn't have the stats for that. 

mschanandlerbong1214

   

JLaVO888

This chart is always my favorite and I was going to have to go digging for it this morning after some bad dreams so thanks for finding it for me! 

dtspmama

@meggyme Thank you for posting this! It's such a positive thing to read and so reassuring in those moments of doubt.

maggiemadeit

I have been checking this every day too. I feel so much less crazy knowing that other ladies are doing the same! I somehow find it reassuring to see the miscarriage rate drop every day. Thanks for posting it in a positive way! 

nomangos23

Thank you for posting this. I needed it this am as I wait for second set of betas to come back. I'm so nervous. 

meggyme

@nomangos23 hugs, I hope your numbers are good!

navete

@nomangos23 Good luck! 

mill1020

Thanks for posting this, @meggyme!

thedaint87

This is comforting to look at!  I've never experienced a loss but it's always in the back of my mind that it could happen. Seeing those numbers is very helpful to calm my brain down. 

mrs-snyder

Oh, I love this so much. Thank you so much for posting! Very encouraging to see that number go up very day ❤️ 

stephorgutz

Love this! Such a better way of looking at it. I'm trying not to white knuckle it everyday and this is helpful.

indigoheightsblog

oh wow thank you so much for posting this!!! NEEDED THIS today! 

meggyme

Bumping.

mommaangie32019

Thanks so much for sharing this. I needed to see it! You're so rate, when you look up anything about miscarriages, it's all negative. Of course it is, but there's not a lot out there for reassurance. 

meggyme

We’ve got a lot of new folks, so I figured I’d bump this up.

mappowell

97% of success today, this makes me feel a little calmer. A little

dtspmama

bump

natty101219

Thank you for posting this! Positive reinsurance is always needed. I haven't experienced a loss but I'm still afraid of it. 

3rdtime_charmed

I found the same data, put into a calculator, and you can add in your age and history (which was important to me given I am high-risk).
if you hit “reassure me” it does just that.
https://datayze.com/miscarriage-reassurer.php
it told me chances are 3.8 times better that I will have a baby compared to a miscarriage.

shrub

Thank you for this! Needed this today.

mappowell

@3rdtime_charmed I use that one too! I love how it frames it in the positive and you can add age and previous losses. 

mayoduck

Thank you so much for posting this! I definitely need the occasional reminder that the odds are in my little bean's favor!

bubbleyumm

Thank you for this. It's nice looking at it from a positive view

mamaoftwomonkeys

Bumping this. 97.9% today this pregnancy continuing!

babya422

Thanks for sharing this! Every time I get a cramp or feel anything, I start getting worried about miscarriage. Those stats are really reassuring!

mrsl0429

What an awesome positive was to look at this. As someone with a previous MC, it's always nice to have positive stats in your corner! Thank you for posting! 

kristimh80

Love this!! Thank you so much for posting!  

kschyala

I have been looking at this everyday

candypantsls

BIG, BIG deep sigh of relief over here.  This is my third, and my first two pregnancies went very well.  For some reason I was holding my breath with this one.  6 weeks this week.  Thanks for posting this.

indigoheightsblog

9 weeks today and officially 97.90% - coming back to this made me feel great today! 

mayoduck

9 weeks, not feeling pregnant today and no appointments until August 23. Sigh. Holding extra tightly onto these stats today. It's this and the fact I am not experiencing major bleeding or cramping that are giving me hope everything is still ok!

sejica

I went looking for this because I needed to see it today, so I figured I'd bump it back the front page for anyone else who might benefit