The Odds of *Not* Having an Early Miscarriage

artlea2013

For all you FTM that don't know your odds, or any other mom with that constant sense of doubt, these are the odds. Outliers always occur, and nothing is guaranteed, but the information is on your side.

Credit to @l4rk from Jan16

"Hello Ladies!

I've noticed that no matter how many times I look up miscarriages rates, I walk away feeling only slightly better (at best). I'm the kind of person who finds reassurance in statistics, but for some reason, all of the existing posts weren't doing it for me. And then I realized why: articles on miscarriage focus on the chances you're going to miscarry and all the comments share miscarriage stories--they don't focus on how many people DON'T have miscarriages and go on to have happy, healthy babies! 

I adapted this week-by-week chart and modified it so that it would focus on the positive rather than the negative! Since I found the positive spin benefiting my peace of mind, I thought it might benefit some of you too.

By the way, anyone in this January 2016 club already has a better chance of NOT having a miscarriage than having one... The numbers are on your side! 

Progress	Probability of NOT having a miscarriage
3W, 0D	67%
3W, 1D	67.10%
3W, 2D	67.40%
3W, 3D	68%
3W, 4D	68.70%
3W, 5D	69.70%
3W, 6D	70.80%
4W, 0D	72%
4W, 1D	73.50%
4W, 2D	74.80%
4W, 3D	76.40%
4W, 4D	77.90%
4W, 5D	79.50%
4W, 6D	81.10%
5W, 0D	82.70%
5W, 1D	84.20%
5W, 2D	85.60%
5W, 3D	87%
5W, 4D	88.30%
5W, 5D	89.50%
5W, 6D	90.60%
6W, 0D	91.60%
6W, 1D	92.50%
6W, 2D	93.40%
6W, 3D	94.10%
6W, 4D	94.70%
6W, 5D	95.30%
6W, 6D	95.70%
7W, 0D	96.10%
7W, 1D	96.50%
7W, 2D	96.80%
7W, 3D	97%
7W, 4D	97.20%
7W, 5D	97.40%
7W, 6D	97.50%
8W, 0D	97.60%
8W, 1D	97.70%
8W, 2D	97.80%
8W, 3D	97.80%
8W, 4D	97.90%
8W, 5D	97.90%
8W, 6D	97.90%
9W, 0D	97.90%
9W, 1D (and on)	98%+"

yesthisiskim0401

Thank you for this 

bjkay22

Thank you so much for this. ❤️

mileswithmyles

Thank you!  I screenshotted the one on another board and I look at it everyday to try to reassure myself. 

kpc914

Thank you

katie121209

I remember seeing this on my last birth board for DS and love it!! 

Kaysquared2

When I feel worried or stressed I put my info into this site and it reassured me.  You can put age, weight, number of love births and losses as well and calculates that all towards your chances.  It also has the average chance by day.  https://datayze.com/miscarriage-chart.php

psgoulet

Thank you so much!
I just reached 70.8% chance of NOT having a miscarriage! 

artlea2013

Just bumping for new members

sparkymcgeee

I wish I could believe all of this. I know math is on my side but my history still makes me nervous. But this is wonderful to post so thank you. 

thunderberry

Awesome chart. Also, for those of us in the queasy club, morning sickness is associated with a 50-70% reduced chance of miscarriage, so I'm choosing to believe that at 5 weeks I'm over 90% I'm a big worrier but trying to stay positive!!

(and for those who aren't sick yet, that reduction still applies if the nausea arrives before the 8 week mark so no need to fret!)