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April 2017 Moms
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The odds of NOT having an early miscarriage

Caressa1Caressa1 member
in April 2017 Moms
There was a chart posted in my old BMB about the odds of not having an early miscarriage.
It helped reassure me during the first trimester with DD so I thought I'd share.

ProgressProbability of NOT having a miscarriage
3W, 0D67%
3W, 1D67.10%
3W, 2D67.40%
3W, 3D68%
3W, 4D68.70%
3W, 5D69.70%
3W, 6D70.80%
4W, 0D72%
4W, 1D73.50%
4W, 2D74.80%
4W, 3D76.40%
4W, 4D77.90%
4W, 5D79.50%
4W, 6D81.10%
5W, 0D82.70%
5W, 1D84.20%
5W, 2D85.60%
5W, 3D87%
5W, 4D88.30%
5W, 5D89.50%
5W, 6D90.60%
6W, 0D91.60%
6W, 1D92.50%
6W, 2D93.40%
6W, 3D94.10%
6W, 4D94.70%
6W, 5D95.30%
6W, 6D95.70%
7W, 0D96.10%
7W, 1D96.50%
7W, 2D96.80%
7W, 3D97%
7W, 4D97.20%
7W, 5D97.40%
7W, 6D97.50%
8W, 0D97.60%
8W, 1D97.70%
8W, 2D97.80%
8W, 3D97.80%
8W, 4D97.90%
8W, 5D97.90%
8W, 6D97.90%
9W, 0D97.90%
9W, 1D (and on)98%+

Here is a link to the original discussion: https://forums.thebump.com/discussion/12575727/the-odds-of-not-having-an-early-miscarriage/p1
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Re: The odds of NOT having an early miscarriage

  • bww_0331bww_0331 member
    Thanks for sharing.  It is so nice to see the stats in a positive light  <3
    Babysizer Cravings Pregnancy Tracker
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  • KirstinH88KirstinH88 member
    I like seeing the stats with a probability of NOT having a miscarriage instead of the chances of having a miscarriage. That's nice.
    Me: 29 DH: 33
    Married: 5/30/2013
    DSS #1: 5/25/2007
    DSS #2: 1/22/2011
    DS #3: 7/8/2012
    BFP: 3/14/2016 ~ MC: 3/19/2016
    DS #4: 4/21/17
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  • STM2017STM2017 member
    I was actually looking for this the other day for some reassurance. Thank you for sharing. 
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  • chelle087chelle087 member
    Thanks for sharing!
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  • gaylew5gaylew5 member
    edited August 2016
    Is this based on date fetus measured or date since LMP?  These 2 could be totally different.  My point being, you may think you are 7 weeks, fetus stopped growing at 5 weeks and never actually had a heart beat.  My feeling is, this is based on the fetus dates, which would be based on a healthy sono at that time.
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  • catem07catem07 member
    Well obviously you can only benchmark to the last time you had confirmation of a healthy pregnancy.
    DD #1: April 2017
    DD #2: May 2020
    Baby #3: EDD May 2023; MC October 2022

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  • smallanimalsmallanimal member
    I dont know if this is correct or has any scientific basis, nor do I care.. this is what I needed today.  THANK YOU.  5w3d here.  Good luck to everyone out there!!!!!
    Me:  35 year old FTM, a busy city banker living in London, and a constant worrier. 
    My DH:  French guy, car fanatic, best husband ever.  
    Our baby boy:  Due on 17 April, currently 37 weeks.  I can't believe it - I made it to full term!!!! 
    Last measurement:  3150 gs at 37+1!  This is going to be a big baby :)
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