Has anyone had Panorama results that indicated a likelihood of Trisomy 13/18 and it been a false-positive? I got my Panorama results back and it indicated Trisomy 13, so I went yesterday for a cvs test. We are obviously very anxious and are hoping it's confined only to the placenta.
Update: we got our initial "fish" test back from the cvs test. It's negative. While this is good news, the geneticist said we need to be cautiously optimistic about the fact that they don't know whose cells they pulled, which is why they need to wait the full 10 days. Final update: the baby does not have Trisomy 13. After the full wait time of the cvs testing, no triple strands of cells were present. I'm very, very relieved.
[MC 11.20.11] [DS born 9.24.12] [DD born 10.15.14]
Re: Unexpected Panorama results- Big update
Let us know what happens. Best of luck.
1st BFP-8/17/12! Missed Miscarriage discovered @ 8 week US. D&C.
2nd BFP-2/13/13! Blighted Ovum discovered @ 8 week US. Natural miscarriage.
3rd BFP-5/22/13! By early June, progesterone plummeting. Another loss.
August 2013 - started Donor Egg process, but surprise BFP with my own eggs.
Dear Son born 5/28/14
BFP #1 March 24, 2010; missed m/c May 26, 2010 @ 12w 4d; D&E May 28, 2010
BFP #2 Oct 20, 2010; My little boy was born on July 5, 2011
BFP #3 April 30, 2013; Chemical Pg May 5, 2013
BFP #4 Aug 22, 2013; It's a boy. Loss discovered at 24 weeks on Jan 15, 2014 (cause CMV virus)
We love and miss you Timothy
BFP #5 April 6, 2014; missed m/c May 15, 2014 @ 9 weeks; Misoprostol May 15, 2014; D&C May June 3, 2014
OP - I found this:
There is a common misunderstanding about "false positive rate" and I see some people are worried because of it so here we go:
False positive rate = false positives/all tests
False positive rate =/= false positives/all positives
It's counter-intuitive especially for low-incidence cases such as DS.
For example, study shows that Maternit21 has 99.8% specificity, which means 0.2% false positive rate. It also has 99.1% sensitivity, which means it can detect 99.1% of all the DS cases.
Since launch there have been about 3500 tests. I don't know what's the incidence of DS in the tested population but since the test is only recommended to high risk group which usually have a 1/2 to 1/200ish odds of DS, let's assume the allover DS incidence being 1/100. So by definition, if the study statistics can translate into real life situation, so far the test would have identified:
# of True positve cases = 3500 x (1/100) x 99.1% = 35
# of False positive cases = 3500 x 0.2% = 7
Bottom line is:
If you got a positive result from MaterniT21, there is still a 7/(7+35)=1/6 chance that it's wrong. And that is why a positive result needs confirmation by amnio/cvs.
Good luck to all!
@MrsDL I've also been doing more research on Panorama as well. (different than Matrrniti21, they claim they are more accurate/less false positives than M21-who really knows..) there have been a number of false positives and I've even read if your BMI is high, it can affect the results, because there's less fetal DNA to be found in general.
[MC 11.20.11] [DS born 9.24.12] [DD born 10.15.14]
@MrsDL, I've also read this happening, but with the old testing which is 97% accurate. I tried searching the bump for anyone who's had a false positive with Panorama and couldn't find anyone. The thing that scares me is that Panorama is s/b 99% accurate.
[MC 11.20.11] [DS born 9.24.12] [DD born 10.15.14]